How will the new technologies affect the collections in this place of
employment?
Dramatically increased optical disk storage capacities coupled with
plummeting costs will provide terabytes of space for electronic information
systems at even the most modest facilities. This will permit special
libraries to convert the most highly accessed physical collections to
electronic formats and make them available not only to local patrons but
to remote users, as well. The rate limiting steps in the conversion
process will be scanning, processing and indexing images and text files.
Libraries will not be able to make these conversions without significant
increases in staffing and budget earmarked for such efforts. Right now
such efforts are often considered secondary. That will shift. The work
will require professionals who possess not only all the traditional
library skills and knowledges but who also have appropriate subject area
expertise and in-depth knowledge of electronic information management
techniques. Electronic holdings of all sorts will increase radically.
Annoyingly qualified and contentious people, not unlike myself, will be
needed.
The promise held out by vastly increased interconnectivity provided by
telecommunications technologies of all types is that collections may
become more highly focused and deeper through some sort of intelligent,
concerted plan for resource sharing among comparable institutions. The
perceived need to stake a claim and carve out a turf on the Net, however,
can be expected to interfere with resource sharing for a time and will
drive up costs, as well. This is happening on the Internet
today. Ultimately, however, things can be expected to settle down as
"winners" emerge. The best course of action for special libraries will be
to emphasize what they have that is unique, to strengthen their
collections in these areas and to make them available globally not for the
sake of sheer altruism but with the expectation that special
collections of interest and value at other institutions will also be made
available by reciprocity. Physical collections will become more focused
and will shrink but this will be coupled to and complemented by increased
access to remote collections.
A radical shift will also take place in collections in all types of
libraries in response to increased availability of electronic document
delivery services and a shift toward the electronic publication of primary
sources, most notably, journals. The expansion of physical collections of
periodicals will slow considerably and may even halt. The shift in these
collections will be toward conversion to electronic form and preservation
of critical or historically valuable holdings. New document delivery
service agencies on the Internet will offer patrons direct pay-as-you-go
access to primary sources. Libraries with unique collections out of
copyright may profit from arrangements with access providers or may
benefit by permitting access in exchange for conversion to electronic
formats. Partnerships with service providers in the information industry
and with electronic publishers will become commonplace.
In summary, the major shifts that can be expected in collections will
center around radical increases in interconnectivity, access, speed of
delivery and variety of delivery modes. If present trends continue,
however, the power of finding aids will not keep pace with these
developments. Future library users will have an increasingly difficult time
locating items in the bewildering array of information sources available
to them unless those with the skill and knowledge needed to organize,
catalog and index such sources, virtual and physical, provide them with
the tools necessary to do the job.
And, finally, the most difficult challenge for collection managers, aside
from keeping abreast of rapid changes in technology, will be knowing their
users. Right now we are living in a difficult time described by Alvin
Toffler in Future Shock as "high tech, low touch." We will need to
move toward an ideal of "high tech, high touch" if we are to succeed in the
future. We will have to invent ways in which to gather appropriate and necessary
feedback from all our users, local and remote. The question is, will the
charter of our institutions change to permit it? "Exactly who do we
serve?" may become the single most important question for collection
managers in the next few years.